Fox News released polls reporting that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in the race for the 2020 election.
The poll also suggested that the coronavirus, unemployment, and supposed racism have created an uncertain time in the United States.
Fox News Polls Show Fear is a Factor
Sixty-three percent of Biden voters said that fear that Trump would be reelected was their primary reason for voting for Biden – opposed to the other 31 percent who said enthusiasm was backing their Biden vote.
It is the complete opposite case for Trump voters where 62 percent said enthusiasm was the motivating factor with just 33 percent saying their Trump vote would be made in fear of Biden wining.
Fear can be a strong motivating factor that may help Biden fair better in the election. From the coronavirus lockdowns leading to substantial unemployment numbers to the riots wreaking havoc across the country, the establishment media and top Democrat leaders have used the happenings to ensure fear takes hold of society.
“Negative emotions like fear, anxiety, and anger, can be powerful motivators for political participation,” says Daron Shaw, who handles the Fox News Poll. “The lack of enthusiasm for Biden, however, does create an opening for Trump to define him as out of touch and not up to the task.”
Is Biden Actually Leading?
Shaw conducts the polls with Democrat Chris Anderson and it also claims that Biden has the lead over Trump by a 50-38 percent margin. Last month Biden supposedly had an 8-point lead (48-40 percent), which Fox News says Biden’s now 12-point advantage is significant.
However, in the lead up to the 2016 election, polls by almost every mainstream media ended up be entirely wrong. Polls by ABC, NCB, CNN, The New York Times, and The Washington Post all predicted Hillary Clinton would beat Trump by a substantial margin.
An ABC News poll on Oct 23, 2016, showed Clinton having a 12-point lead over Trump. On Nov 7, 2016, Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project gave Clinton a 90 percent chance of winning the election.
Here we go with the Fake Polls. Just like what happened with the Election against Crooked Hillary Clinton. ABC, NBC, CNN, @nytimes, @washingtonpost, they all got it wrong, on purpose. Suppression Polls so early? They will never learn!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 15, 2019
After the complete and total failure of polling in the 2016 election, some Americans now conclude that listening to polling is essentially a waste of time and fake news.
Trump Needs Independent Votes
“Trump needs to expand beyond traditional Republican groups and cut Biden’s support among independents,” Shaw said. “The best news in the poll for the Trump campaign is a significant percentage of independents saying they haven’t decided or are considering a third-party option.”
Independents reportedly back Biden over Trump by 39-17 percent, but promisingly for the president, another 43 percent are currently undecided or voting for someone else.
Biden’s lead comes from the support of black voters (+79 points over Trump), those under age 30 (+37), suburban areas (+22), women (+19), and voters ages 65+ (+10), Fox News reports.
Republicans seemingly prefer Trump (86 percent) to former President George W. Bush (72 percent).
As the coronavirus pandemic and protests over George Floyd’s death continue to affect American society, it is a possible uphill battle for President Trump for the 2020 election. But he has done it before, and it is likely he could do it again.