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Shop NowNew polling favors Republicans if the numbers translate into turnout come Election Day in the 2022 midterms. New polling data from Rasmussen Reports shows that if the election were held today, the GOP would win 22 percent of black American voters.
“I’m excited about the latest numbers and the black men that are moving the needle,” Blaze TV contributor Shemeka Michelle told Timcast News.
Black voters favor Democrats, historically, by a roughly 90 percent margin.
President Obama garnered 95 percent of the black vote in 2008 and congressional Democrats picked up 93 percent of the black vote. During the midterm elections of 2010, black Americans voted Democrat by an 89 percent margin.
Black voters overwhelmingly supported Obama in 2012, with the president receiving 93 percent of the vote. In the 2014 midterms, 90 percent of black Americans voted Democrat, while only 9 percent voting Republican.
In 2016 had a slight down turn as black voter turnout decreased for the first time in two decades. This despite an overall turnout. About 89 percent of black voters supported Hillary Clinton, while Donald Trump picked up 8 percent.
The 2018 midterms had 90 percent of black voters voting for Democrats.
Republicans gaining an additional 12 percent of black voters in the 2022 midterms elections would be a seismic. This could be a historically significant shift, given that mathematically, Democrats cannot win elections without support from the black community.
“The African American community can shift an entire election. So goes Mecklenburg County, so goes the state,” Khalif Rhodes, lawyer and chairman of Charlotte Mecklenburg’s Black Political Caucus, said just before the 2020 election.
“The path to the nomination runs through the African American community,” CNN contributor and Democratic consultant Paul Begala said. “That’s how Clinton won, that’s how Barack beat Hillary, that’s how Hillary beat Bernie.”
Trump launched an aggressive plan aimed directly at the black community in 2020 that offered a policy platform worth nearly $500 billion. It was an anomaly for a Republican candidate. Republican’s largely stay clear of direct policy proposals to black Americans.
Rasmussen polling overestimated his support at 48 percent ahead of the election that year. But Trump still secured 18 percent of the black vote, the highest number any Republican in history has garnered.
At this time it remains unclear if that support was limited to his candidacy or if those numbers will translate into historic wins party-wide for 2022 candidates.
Rasmussen’s survey was of 2,500 likely U.S. voters. The poll was conducted from September 18 to the September 22. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
