According to a Trafalgar Group survey released November 18 shows that GOP Senators Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue are leading their Democrat opponents in Georgia’s Senate runoff.
The survey was taken December 14-16, and showed Loeffler leading Raphael Warnock 52.2 percent to 45.5 percent. Perdue is leading 50.2 percent to 47.5 percent against Jon Ossoff. Both figures include respondents who are “leaning” toward the candidates as well.
Both leads are outside the survey’s +/- 2.3 percent margin of error.
Since the last survey, Loeffler has expanded her lead over Warnock, who she has labeled as a “radical liberal,” from 3.1 percent to 6.7 percent. Perdue has also improved, as Ossoff was previously leading by 0.3 percent.
Robert C. Cahaly, Chief pollster for the Trafalgar Group, shared the poll results on Twitter:
Our new @trafalgar_group 2020 #GASen #Runoff #poll (12/14 – 12/16) shows GOP lead:
Senate Runoff
50.2% @PerdueSenate,
47.5% @Ossoff,
2.3% UndSenate Runoff (special)
52.2% @KLoeffler,
45.5% @ReverendWarnock,
2.3% UndSee Report: https://t.co/chWrezWXwu pic.twitter.com/xlXNxVCH9p
— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) December 19, 2020
Our new @trafalgar_group 2020 #GASen #Runoff #poll conducted 12/8 – 12/10 shows tightening races:
Senate Runoff
49.1% @Ossoff,
48.8% @PerdueSenate,
2.1% UndSenate Runoff (special)
50.4% @KLoeffler,
47.3% @ReverendWarnock,
2.3% UndSee Report: https://t.co/VpXsQuRFeq pic.twitter.com/gBewvJKe1D
— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) December 12, 2020
The survey also found that approximately two percent of respondents are still undecided in both races.
Senator Kamala Harris is expected to begin campaigning in Georgia for Ossoff and Warnock next week, while Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden began campaigning a few days ago.
“It’s time to stand up, take back our democracy. Send me these two men, and we will control the Senate, and we will change the lives of the people in Georgia,” Biden said during a stop in Georgia on December 15.
“I need two senators from this state if I want to get something done, not two senators who are going to get in the way, because, look, getting nothing just hurts Georgia,” he added.
If Democrats win both races, the Senate would be split between the two parties 50-50, with the vice president breaking the tie. If Biden also wins, Kamala Harris will be the tie breaker, giving Democrats control of all three branches of government.
The GOP need to win at least one of the races to maintain a slim majority in the Senate, which could slow down Democrat policy changes if Biden is elected.
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